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Steve

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3 hours ago, Sundog said:

 

Well, that depends on where you are and how fast you jumped on the problem. New Zealand and most of Australia HAVE prevented any major spread.

Not a good compare...an island has advantages not shared by others.

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3 hours ago, unclevlad said:

Uh oh.

 

Just one day...but...WorldOMeters' US data is showing almost 1000 new deaths today.  

 

Tuesdays almost always have the highest death toll of any day of the week.  Either because that's when the death toll backlog from the weekend gets reported, or because Tuesdays really do hate us.

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15 hours ago, unclevlad said:

Uh oh.

 

Just one day...but...WorldOMeters' US data is showing almost 1000 new deaths today.  

 

The daily death counts have been WAY down lately.  There are a couple of strange anomalies around 6/25 and 7/7.  This must have something to do with timing of submissions and paperwork and whatnot because otherwise these weird spikes don't make much sense.

 

Like 6/25 a huge number of people just died at a rate we haven't seen since March and then less than a week later we're seeing an 89% decrease in fatalities?  Looks odd.

 

Though as you can see for the last 3 weeks or so the death rate is vastly improved from the 2000 per day in March.  Minus the huge spike on 6/25 and the medium large spike on 7/7.

 

Certainly paints a different picture than what I've been seeing in the news.  Cases are up, but death is way down.  The data is available in pretty friendly format from covidtracking.com/data.

 

image.png.e228bc9d6c9d0251c81ceb6446333e93.png

 

 

And the Texas numbers because we are moving in the wrong direction, baby.

 

image.png.745846a3735e8173593b7a80fbfdc578.png

 

 

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5 hours ago, ScottishFox said:

 

The daily death counts have been WAY down lately.  There are a couple of strange anomalies around 6/25 and 7/7.  This must have something to do with timing of submissions and paperwork and whatnot because otherwise these weird spikes don't make much sense.

 

 

The 25 June...perhaps.

But not yesterday and today.  They DO make sense.  Case numbers started to rise just after the solstice...and now the death counts are rising.  Over 750 today with a few hours left.  And it's gone up by 6 in just a few minutes while I was looking at some different things...

 

At this point you can't look at the longer-term trendline for daily deaths;  it's now meaningless, with the massive upswing in cases.  It would be interesting and possibly informative to take the daily case counts and daily death counts, do some normalization on both (say, divide daily cases by 60,000, daily deaths by 2000, so they'd be on similar scales) then offset the daily deaths by 2 weeks, and perhaps another offset by 3 weeks, and see how well they overlap.  

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COVID-19 has claimed the Ivy League fall sports seasons (including football, delayed at least until spring 2021) and 11 varsity sports at Stanford (permanently after the upcoming academic year). 

 

Stanford Cuts and Ivy League's Fall Sports Decision Are Just the Beginning for College Athletics

 

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I'd caught the Ivy League move...but not the moves by Stanford and Ohio State.  (OSU suspended voluntary workouts by its mens' basketball and football programs.)  Those are all huge.  The Ivy League's move is the most radical...flat-out cancelling.  But Stanford and OSU are A+-listers.

 

If you care at all about sports...and, no, I don't mean just college sports...read the article.

 

 

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Peru and Chile have passed Spain and the UK in terms of total number of cases.  Brazil's death count exceeds that of Italy and France combined.  Brazil's daily deaths graph is horrifying...a clear reporting pattern based on day of the week, but the numbers within the pattern have been quite consistent for 8 weeks now.  And new cases counts continue to rise.

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