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Steve

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It was a suggestion. Nothing more, or less.


Time is is what you make of it. Newton lived in a different era, he didn’t get 24/7 news updates, and hashtags to flatten the curve. Instead he flattened gravity. 

 

So why not follow Newton’s example, and start a project. Basically, why not read one of the most important books ever written? Is that not a productive use of time? Or do something else creative! 

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On 3/28/2020 at 3:32 PM, Old Man said:

 

lockquote widget

 

 

With apologies to old man:  I didn't mean to quote him; I hit the wrong button and my phone won't let me clear the widget. 

 

I have a quick question :

 

I liked the original I tent of this thread (I don't k ow what other celebrity deaths may have occurred from Corona, but Joe Diffie bought it over the weekend),  but as suspected, it's a lot less useful now than it was. 

 

Can any of you folks with more desk time that I have during the day point the way to a similar thread on any forum or website that wants to keep up spirits, share the news, but leave the farcking politics the frack out of it? 

 

I mean--some of us have been exposed and would just like some news and humor without all the petty little personal crusades. 

 

So if anyone knows of such  a thread, please post a link. 

 

 

Thanks. 

 

 

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3 hours ago, Starlord said:

 

Ratchets up the suspicion they're lying through their teeth....

 

From a planning perspective, it also says that if we want a more reliable estimate of the mortality rate of the virus......we have to take the Chinese data out.  It is completely unreliable.

 

Lessee...

  total cases total deaths case/1M Est Pop (M) Deaths/1M Mort Rate
World 746178 35347 95.7 7797 4.53 4.74%
China 81470 3304 57 1429 2.31 4.06%
World – China 664708 32043 104.4 6368 5.03 4.82%

 

Just a bit of number crunching.  The top 2 rows' data from worldometers.com,(https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/) except for the population estimate...that's from cases per million and total cases.  The third's simple math, only here the cases /deaths per million people is computed from the total cases/deaths and estimated population.  Mortality rate is simply deaths/cases.

 

So the big upswing is, both infection rate and death rate go up about 10%.  The death rate goes up but not by enough to matter *yet*.  It's too early, there's too many variables at play for that mortality rate to be considered final.  And the data for Spain and Italy are disastrously high;  their mortality rates are about 8 and 10%.  

EDIT:  Mortality rates by country.  Same data source.

  Cases Deaths Rate
World 746178 35347 4.74%
USA 145131 2608 1.80%
Italy 97689 10779 11.03%
Spain 85195 7340 8.62%
China 81470 3304 4.06%
Germany 63929 560 0.88%
Iran 41495 2757 6.64%
France 40174 2606 6.49%
UK 22141 1408 6.36%
Switzerland 15526 333 2.14%
Belgium 11899 513 4.31%
Netherlands 11750 864 7.35%
S. Korea 9661 158 1.64%
Austria 9520 108 1.13%
Turkey 9217 131 1.42%
Canada 6671 67 1.00%
Portugal 6408 140 2.18%

 

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