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unclevlad

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Everything posted by unclevlad

  1. You're trying to make a points analysis, rather than a character impact analysis. If this was a PC, getting taken out of the campaign for a month, would you not say this was *incredibly* extreme? How is this any different from being captured, in any meaningful way??? The impact is that the person cannot interact with the world *at all* while this is the case. So...microverse or a prison cell, who cares? That's a meaningless distinction.
  2. Extreme Physical Limitation. Wrote up this one: Phys. Lim.: When fully shrunk, 8- to fall into the microverse for 1d6 weeks (Infrequently; Fully Impairing) Or, alternately, Extreme Side Effect. Extreme starts at -1. If it always happened, it'd go to -2. OK, so for something intermediate...happens on an 8- might be another -1/4, 11- another -1/2. You're saying the NPC's power simply does this sometimes, and he's got no control...so I'm taking the additional -1 for "it always happens" and reducing it based on how often it happens.
  3. For another point of comparison? https://www.ziprecruiter.com/Salaries/Professor-Salary-in-Berkeley,CA This is at UC Berkeley...they're putting the average at about $135K. For someone with a doctorate. Or, if you prefer, registered nurse: https://www.indeed.com/career/registered-nurse/salaries/CA Registered nurse is where you start needing a degree. So, yeah, clearly, someone flipping burgers deserves the same pay as a trained medical professional....
  4. 2 adults charged with murder in the KC parade shooting. Ballistics matched the shots that killed the DJ to the gun of one of them. The charge is felony murder in the 2nd degree. Missouri law says So even someone who didn't fire the fatal shot...it won't matter. Someone died. This is on top of the 2 minors charged. Story in the NYT says the other defendant told detectives, "just being stupid." Yeah, I'd say so, man. Really, really stupid. And it's basically cost you anything like a normal life from here on.
  5. Yeah, that's the main thing...this isn't even a 20% increase, 30% increase...it's a massive increase. Historical precedents don't apply because the magnitude of the increase is so large.
  6. The first point...probably very little individually, because the corporate execs get that little bit from *every* McDs, in some way or another...because corporate charges for basically every item that has a logo. There's 36,000 of em, and sales estimates are 2.5 BILLION burgers per year. And you may have picked a bad example: https://www.restaurantbusinessonline.com/financing/mcdonalds-ceo-chris-kempczinski-got-big-raise-last-year The McD's CEO is making about...a penny a burger. You're not counting correctly. As I said...at dinner, IIRC, we ran about 15 people. *2* of them would be the people making the burgers. You have to factor in the register people, the food runners, etc. And you misunderstood. The labor rate at that point was expected to be kept to about 15% of sales. That aggregates all employees (other than the manager) and all items. The actual cost of labor to the menu price is an approximation that's based on the typical cost of labor compared to the gross receipts. And, sure, it's not entirely true that raising the minimum wage will cause prices to rise. Raising prices will cost some business, so it's not the first choice. One can look for other cost savings...streamline operations, perhaps. That's why the salads went *poof*...and the Filet o Fish is only available at Lent. (ESPECIALLY with McNuggets. They're both fried, but you can't use the same oil, so you need 2 fry vats. McNuggets are popular enough.) Cut down serving size...that's tricky for McD's, but I've known companies that did. My most commonly used coffee roaster dropped bag weight from 12 ounces to 11 ounces. Shift around perks...that roaster does free shipping at $50. Well, maybe raise it to $60 or $70. Before the pandemic, a local supermarket pretty often did $5 off your next $75 purchase...ok, well, not a lot but every little bit helps. They ran that for 3-4 weeks, and fairly often. Now? Nowhere near as often. You're not considering that this will reflect throughout the supply chain. The food costs will also go up 20-30%. Power will go up...probably less, as I doubt labor is a large driver of power costs...but it'll still go up. Say, 5%? And so on, and so on. And remember...there'll be increases at each step of the supply chain. The farmers will need to charge more, because their expenses go up. That means the intermediate producers like the bakers, they'll be paying more...and paying more in wages. This doesn't have an impact in isolation. So the actual increase is likely significantly higher than 50%. Nor would your take-home increase nearly as much; if nothing else, your taxes would jump greatly: https://www.irs.gov/filing/federal-income-tax-rates-and-brackets If (single) you went from $30,000 to $100,000 taxable, at $30K nothing's higher than 12%. At $100K, the bulk is taxed at 22%. Your deductions won't change...but they'll remain fixed, whereas your gross income jumps a LOT. (I transitioned from working for the state, to being a contractor, before I retired...so I got the state pension AND my salary as the contractor, which was similar. In essence, what I was getting in retirement funds from the state, were all getting taxed at the higher level.) And as I said earlier: the $50/hour might be sensible for SF, LA, San DIego...but not statewide. It's too much. The middle class IS being priced out of the major cities...but the solution isn't an across-the-board, massive increase in the minimum wage. What is? I have no clue, it's not my field. This isn't fancy economics, just from bits and pieces picked up over the years. Like...when I worked for the state, they charged the contract, IIRC, about twice what they paid me. Why? THEIR costs had to be covered. The hourly rate *to me* was based on 2080 hours...but the contract was billed at a rate to cover only 1800 hours or so...because they can't charge the contract for the annual leave, the sick leave, or the holidays. State pension...the employer share was 8%. Social security, 6%. I worked in an office in a state building most of the time...so facilities costs. The state's contribution to health insurance. ALL of those have to be billed to the contract I was working on, and probably others I can't recall right now. In fact, when I switched to the contractor, part of the motivation was because the employee's contribution to the state pension plan disappeared...that was due to rise to, IIRC, 9%. Factors like this are often why paying 4 people, 10 hours of overtime each, is FREQUENTLY cheaper than hiring a 5th person...because overtime generally has a lower loaded rate. If nothing else...leave/holidays don't get tossed on. Some years back, one of the El Paso bankers said "every dollar you put into El Paso banks comes back to create $7 in economic activity." Believe that's right, those ads were ages ago. They loan money to businesses, that creates jobs, those jobs help create more jobs. 1000 new production jobs like, say, making furniture, *also* creates more food service jobs, hair salon/barber shop jobs, teacher jobs, etc. etc. I spend time on a watch forum. A whine I saw periodically was the "gouging" going on for precious-metal watches, that the surcharge was WAY!!!! over the value of the metal itself. Yes, well, those people just proved they knew nothing about econ. The cost to produce an item is based on the cost of materials, the cost of labor, amortization of major production equipment, facilities costs, and probably a few other aspects slipping my mind. Going from a steel case (most common) to a gold case *greatly* increases the cost of materials; the cost of steel can be considered basically zero, compared to gold. Everything else should more or less be fixed. So...ok, why does the company sell the gold watch for SO MUCH more than the gold cost would justify? Because that's the cost to manufacture. At every step from there on out...the price doubles. That's the typical maxim. From manufacturer to distributor to retailer...2 levels, so the cost reflects 4x the cost of materials. The point I'm making: these forces don't just work in isolation. Attempting to raise the minimum wage so *sharply* is basically printing money...it's massively inflationary.
  7. Tenderloin Tiramisu Truffles of ALL varieties
  8. WAY back in the day when I worked at a McDs, there were times when different costs, such as labor, or waste...throwing out burgers that'd sat too long...came up. IIRC, the goal was to keep labor to about 15% of receipts. This wouldn't remain that way, but figure, even if labor in Cali is 10% of receipts, then $150 retail at $15 per hour, means $135 in Other Expenses and profit. To keep things constant, you're looking at about 3% increase when labor rose to $20 per hour. But to $50, you need $185 in sales...perhaps $190 because there's likely secondary costs like unemployment insurance, paid for by the company, that would rise...to keep the $135 in non-labor charges. NOW we're talking a 20-30% price increase, and the labor costs represent over 25% of the receipts. That will drive factors like hours; it's too expensive in base labor costs to be open too early, or stay open too late. It may drive menu choices; McD's is reported to have dropped its salads because demand was low, and prep time was high...well, make labor that expensive, and that only gets worse. (Subscriber only but the headline should be enough: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-09/mcdonald-s-is-cutting-healthy-food-to-speed-up-wait-times?sref=P6xXtEaF)
  9. The lead paragraph of the USA Today article I linked earlier: Mmm...Statista disagrees. https://www.statista.com/statistics/274326/big-mac-index-global-prices-for-a-big-mac/ It's a push, according to them. Plus, it's the sheer magnitude of the wage jump. From $15/hour to $20/hour is 33%. From $20 to $50 an hour is 150%. The dinner crew when I worked at McDs...40-odd years ago...was probably about 15 people, IIRC. 5 register people (we had 6 registers), 4 in the grill area, 1 on fries/shakes, probably 2 on drive-through when that came in, and some for lobby, stocking, dishes, and possibly gathering food orders. Plus at least 1 manager. IIRC...we'd probably handle 200 or so separate orders in that hour. If labor cost goes from $300 for that hour, to $700...how can that NOT result in a price increase?
  10. Cite for what? That she doesn't recognize it? I'm implying that. That prices will have to rise...does that even need a cite?
  11. The discrepancy in cost of living from areas like San Fran, versus elsewhere, is a major problem. https://livingcost.org/cost/united-states/ca She's picking the most expensive city in Cali by that article; Kiplinger's has a 10 most expensive in the US. San Jose is #3, San Fran is #4...and that's in the country. #2 is Honolulu , #1 is Manhattan. So, she might arguably have a case *in San Francisco*...and LA, and San Diego...but not necessarily for many other parts of California. She also, as Hugh suggests, doesn't recognize that businesses would be forced to raise prices substantially, particularly fast food and small retail. To the business, it's not just the wages. That $50/hour isn't the final cost to them...not even close. Every employer has to kick in 6.2% to Social Security. There's worker's comp and unemployment insurance. The salaried employees won't be happy if the hourlies get a massive raise, and they don't get *something*...even assuming they actually don't get a big raise in the first place. (I never made $50/hour.) The cost for full-time, full-benefits salaried employees is MUCH higher than simply their salaries. EDIT: she's also not considering that not everyone has a family. $127K *for a family of four*. But the wage is gonna get paid to singles too...or to 2-income, no-children couples. To teenagers at the big fast food places. https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2023/11/01/chipotle-mcdonalds-raising-prices-california/71408254007/
  12. None of this supports this claim, *particularly* the part I emphasize: The only location would be Ukraine, and well, before the invasion? I wouldn't have called that one of the worst places on earth by a WIDE margin. And when you combine "illegal in the US" with "worst places on earth"...you invite interpretations like the Tuskegee study. https://www.cdc.gov/tuskegee/timeline.htm
  13. So, in his first game as OSU's interim coach, all Jake Diebler managed to do was win a home game. Against #2 Purdue. That's not the way to manage expectations, I'd say.......
  14. Oh yeah, high-quality, high-reliability data.....
  15. .....which speaks volumes about the Cowboys since then..............
  16. This either requires support or retraction, IMO.
  17. Banana bread Bacon one of each!
  18. .....and he's an expert on Worse.....
  19. The Wherewolf...can precisely locate any wolves within 100 miles.
  20. I got around it, but it was annoying...anyway...thing is, juvies? In the daytime? At a massive public gathering? It's still possible there may have been booze, but it feels unlikely. TMZ...who else, right?...has some video. https://www.tmz.com/2024/02/17/kansas-city-shooting-teens-arguing-video-before-shots-fired-juveniles/ If the 2 they highlight ultimately became the spark that set off the shooting? Looks like they were arguing, but we certainly have no clue why.
  21. Yeah, if you're throwing around quesadillas, many things will need a wash....
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