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2022-23 NFL Thread


Pariah

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There was a sports writer (whose name I forget at the moment) who used to preview NFL games each week, one of which he'd designate the Dog Of The Week.

 

This week, the Dog Of The Week will be in Denver as the listless and underachieving Broncos host the self-destructive Raiders for sole possession of dead last in the AFC West. 

 

Something's gotta give!

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10 hours ago, Pariah said:

There was a sports writer (whose name I forget at the moment) who used to preview NFL games each week, one of which he'd designate the Dog Of The Week.

 

This week, the Dog Of The Week will be in Denver as the listless and underachieving Broncos host the self-destructive Raiders for sole possession of dead last in the AFC West. 

 

Something's gotta give!

 

Yeah, the contents of my stomach, if I watch that one.  Ah, no chance I'll need to;  CBS will have Dallas at Minnesota in the late slot. 

 

This year has been a kennel's worth of dogs each week. 

 

Line's Denver -2.5;  O/U is likely way too high at 42.5.  The Broncos flounder, but the Raiders are imploding completely.  I'd have to pick Denver. 

 

13 hours ago, death tribble said:

3 close games.

 

Hang on. Green Bay beat Dallas ? What ? They were losing last time I looked.

 

And the Lions beat Chicago ? Double what ?

 

Welcome to the modern NFL, and the days of slavish adherence to a questionable formula...so-called analytics.  But they're so over-distilled and over-simplified that they're meaningless.  

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I'm convinced that the NFL got tired of the same old same old and fired all the writers in the offseason. Then they brought in a bunch of new ones, mostly fresh out of college and/or clown school, and told them to go nuts with little or no editorial oversight. 

 

That's the only explanation that makes any sense to me.

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The Patriots were really good for a lot of years. This can really only be explained by some kind of Faustian bargain on the part of their head coach, Bill Belichick.  This much is pretty much known and undisputed.

 

However, Belichick is no dummy. He wasn't about to sell his own soul for a handful of Super Bowl rings. 

 

So instead, he sold the Devil the soul of his offensive coordinator, J*** McD******.

 

And that, ladies and gentleman, is why the Raiders have dropped from a playoff team to five games under .500 in less than one calendar year.

 

Quod erat demonstrandum.

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Broncos-Raiders may qualify for Dog of the Decade by power rankings.  28 vs. 31, 29 vs. 30, 30 vs. 31 twice...ESPN, NFL.com, SI, USA Today rankings.  (Not in order.)  

 

Eagles...we'll have to see.  On the one hand, Washington ran FAR too well. 40-21 time of possession is not good.  On the other, at both 23-21 and 26-21, it looked like the Eagles were primed to take control, but had the ball stripped twice.

 

For the time being?  I'll put it down to the Eagles' egg game.  Every team in the NFL has at least 1, where they just lay an egg.  (Some teams have multiple.  And a few go the other way;  laying eggs is their normal state.)

 

 

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This could be an interesting case...

 

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/broncos-aaron-patrick-sues-nfl-rams-chargers-and-espn-after-suffering-knee-injury-on-sideline-per-report/

 

I'm wondering if the situation is similar to, say, temporary logos put down on a basketball court for promo purposes.  Those are often slick and therefore lead to slip-related injuries.  It's been known for some time, and maybe something's been done about it since last it really came up.  But still, it's an example that media issues trump safety *every time*.

 

Oh my.  Flipping through a playoff 'ranking' story on CBS Sports...Ravens.  Remaining schedule after a bye:  Carolina, Jacksonville, Denver, Steelers (twice), Browns, Falcons, Bengals.  Ya gotta basically concede 6-2 at worst.

 

And it's possible the playoffs will be overwhelmingly Eastern.  Bills, Dolphins, Eagles, and Cowboys are all rated 90% or better to get in.  Giants, 76%.  No surprises there.  But Jets are 59%, Pats 39%, and Commanders 36%.

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42 minutes ago, unclevlad said:

And it's possible the playoffs will be overwhelmingly Eastern.  Bills, Dolphins, Eagles, and Cowboys are all rated 90% or better to get in.  Giants, 76%.  No surprises there.  But Jets are 59%, Pats 39%, and Commanders 36%.

 

FBO playoff odds...

90% or better: PHI, DAL, MIN, BUF, BAL, TEN(!), KC. 

80-90%: MIA, SEA, TB.

Others Of Interest Here: CIN 47%, JAX 4%, DEN 3%, LV 0.9% ("So you're saying there's a chance!")

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9 hours ago, Old Man said:

 

FBO playoff odds...

90% or better: PHI, DAL, MIN, BUF, BAL, TEN(!), KC. 

80-90%: MIA, SEA, TB.

Others Of Interest Here: CIN 47%, JAX 4%, DEN 3%, LV 0.9% ("So you're saying there's a chance!")

That number seems high for the Raiders and Denver. wonder how they will change this weekend when the 2 teams play.

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52 minutes ago, slikmar said:

That number seems high for the Raiders and Denver. wonder how they will change this weekend when the 2 teams play.

 

Dunno about Denver but the Raiders' percentage will drop to zero.  They'll be FIRST!!! to be eliminated from playoff contention.  (Actually Houston might beat them, but only because the Derps play late.)

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If you've noted the weather forecast for the Buffalo area...read: snow, snow, snow, snow, snow, and more snow...the game has been moved to Detroit.

 

Raiders can't be eliminated this week  KC wins, they go to 8-2.  Raiders lose, 2-8.  6 back...but still 7 to play.  Also, that'll only be elimination from the division, not from the WC.  Houston's got that 1/2 game edge there, that could well be significant.  Houston's 3 1/2 back of the 5-4 teams;  Raiders are 3 back.

 

The first to be eliminated from the division race is actually likely to be the Bears...that can happen this weekend, I suspect.  Vikes win, they're 9-1.  Bears lose, they're 3-8.  At best, Bears can tie...hmm.  If by some fluke of the universe, the Vikes lose out and the Bears win out (Powerball odds for this, pretty much)...they'd split head to head...have the same division record...have the same conference record.  So perhaps not.  After that, of course, the Lions and Packers are hot on the Bears' heels.  This could be an interesting weekend for the vitally important Race to Clinch Division First!!  Packers are favored tonight, at home, and Titans have 4 starters out.  Vikes have the Cowboys coming in.  So there's a good chance of a small swing there.

 

 

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There's a difference between a snow game and a white-out, full-on BLIZZARD.  

https://www.accuweather.com/en/winter-weather/live-news/live-updates-lake-effect-snow-buffalo-new-york/1278774

 

The forecast is 3-4 feet between now and Monday.  Lake effect snow warning includes "travel will be very difficult to impossible."  Friday night, in addition to the snow, there's wind gusts to 35 mph forecast.

 

A side point:  Caesar's Sportsbook cancelled all early bets due to the relocation.  DraftKings did NOT...despite the fact that the O/U shifted up substantially, because expected weather conditions obviously *completely* changed.  Personally I think Caesar's is handling it properly;  had I bet the old Under, figuring moving the ball in heavy snow is SERIOUSLY hard, I'd be pretty upset.  Of course, on the flip side, if I had the over, well, I'd be upset when it got cancelled, but it's the more equitable rule IMO.  

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